Saamaynta Ganacsiga Caalamiga ah ee Tinplate ee ka yimaada Dagaalka Ganacsiga Tariff-ka ee u dhexeeya Maraykanka iyo Shiinaha

Laga soo bilaabo 2018 oo uu sii xoogaysanayo Abriil 26, 2025, Dagaalka Ganacsiga Tariff-ka ee u dhexeeya Maraykanka iyo Shiinaha ayaa saameyn weyn ku yeeshay ganacsiga caalamiga ah, gaar ahaan warshadaha tinplate.

▶ Sida xaashi bir ah oo lagu dahaadhay daasad loo isticmaalo ugu horrayn gasacadaha, Tinplate waxa lagu qabtay is-dhaafsiga tacriifadaha iyo tallaabooyinka aargoosiga.

▶ Waxaan halkan uga hadlaynaa saamaynta ganacsiga tinplate ee caalamiga ah, waxaanan diiradda saari doonnaa Koonfur-bari Aasiya, iyadoo lagu salaynayo horumarka dhaqaalaha iyo xogta ganacsiga.

Taariikhda Dagaalkii Ganacsiga

Dagaalka ganacsiga ayaa bilowday iyadoo Mareykanka uu canshuuro kusoo rogay badeecadaha Shiinaha, isagoo ka hadlayay dhaqamada ganacsi ee aan cadaaladda ahayn iyo xatooyada hantida caqliga.

Sannadkii 2025, maamulka madaxweyne Donald Trump ayaa sare u qaaday canshuuraha, isagoo gaaray ilaa 145% qiimaha badeecadaha Shiinaha.

Shiinuhu wuxuu ka aargudanayay canshuuraha wax-soo-saarka Mareykanka, taasoo horseedaysa hoos u dhac ku yimid ganacsiga u dhexeeya, waxayna ka dhigan tahay 3% ganacsiga caalamiga ah ee Mareykanka - Shiinaha oo sii kordhaya dagaalka ganacsiga;

Korodhkan ayaa khalkhal galiyay silsiladaha sahayda caalamiga ah, taas oo saamaysay warshadaha sida tinplate.

Qiimaha USA ee Tinplate Shiinaha

Waxaan la macaamileynaa baakadaha, sidaas darteed waxaan diiradda saareynaa tinplate, Waaxda Ganacsiga ee Mareykanka ayaa ku soo rogtay canshuuraha horudhaca ah ee ka hortagga qashinka alaabada ka yimaada Shiinaha, iyadoo heerka ugu sarreeya ee 122.5% laga soo dejiyo, oo ay ku jiraan soo saaraha weyn ee Baoshan Iron iyo Steel US si ay ugu soo rogaan canshuuraha birta daasadaha ee Canada, Shiinaha, Jarmalka.

Tani waxay hirgashay laga bilaabo Agoosto 2023, waxayna u badan tahay inay sii socoto ilaa 2025. Waxaan rumaysanahay in tinplate Shiineesku uu noqday mid ku yar tartanka suuqa Maraykanka, taasoo keentay in iibsadayaashu ay raadiyaan beddelaad iyo carqaladaynta isu socodka ganacsiga dhaqameed.

Jawaabta Aargoosiga ah ee Shiinaha

Jawaabta Shiinaha waxaa ka mid ahaa kordhinta tacriifadaha badeecadaha Mareykanka, oo gaaraya 125% Abriil 2025, taasoo muujineysa suurtagalnimada dhamaadka tit-for-tat.

Shiinaha ayaa 125% ku soo rogay badeecadaha Mareykanka canshuur kordhintii ugu dambeysay ee Mareykanka iyo Shiinaha.

Aargoosigani waxa uu sii xumeeyay ganacsigii u dhexeeyay, waxa ay yaraynaysaa wax-soo-saarka Maraykanka ee Shiinaha, waxaanay saamayn doontaa dhaqdhaqaaqa ganacsiga tinplate ee caalamiga ah, labada Shiinaha iyo Maraykankuna waa in ay la qabsadaan kharashaadka sarreeya oo ay la-hawlgalayaal cusub ka raadsadaan meelo kale iyo dalal kale.

Saamaynta Ganacsiga Caalamiga ah ee Tinplate

Dagaalka ganacsigu waxa uu horseeday in dib loo habeeyo isu socodka ganacsiga tinplate.

Iyada oo dhoofinta Shiinaha ee Mareykanka ay caqabad ku tahay, gobollada kale, oo ay ku jiraan Koonfur-bari Aasiya, ayaa arkay fursado lagu beddeli karo.

Dagaalka ganacsigu waxa uu sidoo kale keenay soosaarayaasha caalamiga ah in ay kala saaraan silsiladaha sahayda:Wadamada sida Vietnam iyo Malaysiya ayaa soo jiidan doona maalgashiga wax soo saarka, sidoo kale waxaanu diirada saaraynaa wax soo saarka tinplate.

Waa maxay sababtu? marka kharashaadku sare u kaco, isu-gudbinta ama socdaalka caasimadaha ayaa habayn doona saldhigyada wax-soo-saarka meel cusub, koonfur-bari ee Aasiya waxay noqon doontaa doorasho wanaagsan, halkaas oo qiimaha shaqadu uu yar yahay, taraafikada ku habboon, iyo kharashyada ganacsi ee hooseeya.

Koonfur-bari Aasiya: Fursadaha iyo Caqabadaha

Koonfur-bari Aasiya waxaa loo arkaa gobol muhiim ah oo ku yaal muuqaalka ganacsiga tinplate.

Wadamada sida Vietnam, Malaysia, iyo Thailand ayaa ka faa'iideystey dagaalka ganacsiga.

Sida warshaduhu u beddelaan oo ay dib u hagaajiyaan meelaha dhirta si ay uga fogaadaan canshuuraha Mareykanka ee alaabta Shiinaha.

Tusaale ahaan, Vietnam waxay aragtay wax soo saarka sare u kaca, iyada oo shirkadaha tignoolajiyada ay u guurayaan hawlahooda, waxay saameyn ku yeelan doonaan warshadaha la xiriira tinplate.

Wax soo saarka Vietnam waxaa lagu qabsaday dagaalka ganacsiga ee Mareykanka iyo Shiinaha. Malaysia waxay sidoo kale aragtay kobaca dhoofinta semiconductor, taas oo si dadban u taageeri karta baahida tinplate ee baakadaha dagaalka ganacsiga ee Shiinaha iyo Mareykanka.
Si kastaba ha ahaatee, caqabadaha ayaa weli la socda.

Mareykanka ayaa canshuuro ku soo rogay badeecadaha kala duwan ee Koonfur-bari Aasiya, sida leyrarka cadceedda, iyadoo qiimaheedu gaarayo 3,521% laga soo dejiyo Cambodia, Thailand, Malaysia, iyo Vietnam. Markaad timaaddo qoraxda, isbeddelkani wuxuu soo jeedinayaa mawqif ilaalineed oo ballaadhan kaas oo ku fidi kara tinplate haddii dhoofinta loo dhoofiyo Maraykanka ay korodho. Dhinaca kale, Koonfur-bari Aasiya ayaa wajaheysa khatarta ah in lagu fataho badeecadaha Shiinaha, iyadoo Shiinuhu uu doonayo inuu kabo khasaaraha suuqyada Mareykanka isagoo xoojinaya xiriirka gobolka, taas oo kordhin doonta tartanka loogu talagalay soosaarayaasha maxalliga ah. Tarifyada Trump ayaa ku riixi doona Koonfur-bari Aasiya si aan raaxo lahayn ugu dhow Shiinaha.

Saamaynta Dhaqaalaha iyo Weecinta Ganacsiga

Dagaalka ganacsigu wuxuu horseeday saameyn ganacsi oo leexleexad leh, iyadoo waddamada Koonfur-bari Aasiya ay ka faa'iideysteen kororka dhoofinta Mareykanka iyo Shiinaha si ay u buuxiyaan nusqaamaha ka dhalanaya ganacsiga labada dhinac oo hoos u dhacay.

Vietnam waa ka faa'iidaysiga ugu weyn, iyada oo 15% korodhay wax-soo-saarka Maraykanka 2024, waa bcz ee isbeddellada wax-soo-saarka Sida Dagaalkii Ganacsiga ee Maraykanka iyo Shiinaha uu u saameeyay Adduunka intiisa kale. Malaysiya iyo Thailand waxay sidoo kale arkeen guulo, iyadoo semiconductor iyo dhoofinta baabuurta ay kor u kacday.

Si kastaba ha ahaatee, IMF ayaa ka digtay 0.5% hoos u dhaca GDP ee suuqyada soo baxaya sababtoo ah carqaladaynta ganacsiga, taas oo muujinaysa nuglaanshaha Koonfur Bari Asia US - Shiinaha oo sii kordhaya dagaalka ganacsiga; saamaynta Koonfur-bari Aasiya.

Saamaynta faahfaahsan ee Warshadaha Tinplate

Xogta gaarka ah ee ku saabsan ganacsiga tinplate ee Koonfur-bari Aasiya waa mid xaddidan, isbeddellada guud waxay soo jeedinayaan kororka wax soo saarka iyo ganacsiga.

Dagaalka ganacsi ee u dhexeeya Shiinaha iyo Maraykanka ayaa laga yaabaa inuu u raro wax soo saarka tinplate ee Koonfur-bari Aasiya, isagoo ka faa'iideysanaya kharashyo hoose iyo u dhawaanshaha suuqyada kale.

Tusaale ahaan, shirkadaha tamarta qoraxda ee Shiinaha oo leh warshado ku yaal gobolka ayaa fidin kara xeelado la mid ah si ay u dajiyaan Mareykanka ayaa xitaa canshuuro dheeraad ah ku soo rogay Koonfur-bari Aasiya, maadaama baallayaasha qoraxda ay helaan waajibaadyo ka hortag ah oo gaaraya ilaa 3,521%. Si kastaba ha ahaatee, soo saarayaasha maxaliga ah ayaa laga yaabaa inay la kulmaan tartan ka yimaada labadaba Shiinaha iyo canshuuraha Maraykanka, taas oo u horseedaysa jawi adag.

 

Jawaabaha Gobolka iyo Muuqaalka Mustaqbalka

Wadamada Koonfur-bari Aasiya ayaa ka jawaabaya xoojinta iskaashiga gobolka, sida lagu arkay dadaalka ASEAN ee lagu cusboonaysiinayo heshiisyada ganacsiga US - Shiinaha ayaa ka jawaabi doona dagaalka ganacsiga waxayna saameyn ku yeelan doontaa Koonfur-bari Aasiya.

Booqashadii Madaxweynaha Shiinaha ee Vietnam, Malaysia, iyo Cambodia bishii Abriil 2025 waxay ujeeddadeedu ahayd in la xoojiyo xiriirka gobolka, taasoo suurtagal ah in la kordhiyo ganacsiga tinplate Booqashada Xi ayaa iftiimisay jahwareerka Koonfur-bari Aasiya ee dagaalka ganacsiga ee Mareykanka iyo Shiinaha. Si kastaba ha ahaatee, mustaqbalka gobolku wuxuu ku xiran yahay in la maro canshuuraha Mareykanka iyo in la ilaaliyo xasilloonida dhaqaalaha iyada oo ay jirto hubaal la'aan caalami ah.

Dalka	Fursadaha	Caqabadaha
Vietnam	Wax soo saarka oo kordhay, koritaanka dhoofinta	Tariifyada Maraykanka ee suurtogalka ah, tartanka
Malaysia	Kor u kaca dhoofinta semiconductor, kala duwanaanshaha	Tarifyada Maraykanka, badeecooyinka Shiinaha oo daadsan
Thailand	Isbedelka wax soo saarka, ganacsiga gobolka	Khatarta tacriifadaha Maraykanka, cadaadiska dhaqaalaha
Cambodia	Xudunta wax soo saarka ee soo koraysa	Qiimaha sare ee Maraykanka (tusaale, solar, 3,521%)